DRAMeXchange foresees NAND Flash demand bit growth to surpass 130% in 2008
DRAMeXchange estimates that the shipment trend of the aforementioned applications to be: handset to grow by 10% YoY to 1.23bn, with over half of the shipped handsets to equip with external memory card slot; digital camera shipments to grow by over 14% YoY to 130mn; UFD to grow by 25% YoY to 170mn and MP3/PMP to grow by 20% YoY to 200mn, with about 85% of these devices to adopt NAND Flash as the chief storage media.
Where demand for NAND Flash is promising, suppliers keep expanding at the same time. Supply bit growth is expected to be 130-140% this year. Most suppliers are expected to advance their production 5x nm-class process node with capacity breakdown in 5x nm-class process node expected to surpass 60% this year.
Apple will continue exert a strong influence over the price trend. Prices are expected to change proportionally with the amount it procures. DRAMeXchange expects tight supply in 3Q is still likely, as Apple usually starts increasing its procurement amount in 3Q to feed Thanksgiving and Christmas demand.
Note that we also observe low-cost PC and SSD as the other factors determining the market equilibrium. "Whether low-cost PC, such as Asustek’s Eee PC, could sustain its buoyant sales as observed in 4Q07; and whether SSD in SATA and SATA II interfaces will see more penetration at major NB vendors, play vital roles. If demand from these two applications sus.stains strongly, a relatively stable pricing environment is likely as opposed to the previous two years," said DRAMeXchange analyst.
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연락처
DRAMeXchange Jocelyn Chen Tel: +886-2- 77026888 ext 620 이메일 보내기 Fax: +886-2-7702-6989
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2011년 2월 15일 18:51